The Internet (STILL) Running Out Of Capacity?

While scientists predict that the our happy little planet will crash into the sun millions and millions of years in the future, the Internet might suffer a death much closer to today.  For example: 2 years from now according to a new study:

“The study is the first to “apply Moore’s Law (or something very like it) to the pace of application innovation on the ‘Net,” the study says. “Our findings indicate that although core fiber and switching/routing resources will scale nicely to support virtually any conceivable user demand, Internet access infrastructure, specifically in North America, will likely cease to be adequate for supporting demand within the next three to five years.”

The study confirms long-time concerns of the Internet Innovation Alliance (IIA), an advocacy group focused on upgrading U.S. broadband networks, said Bruce Mehlman, co-chairman of the group. The group, with members including AT&T, Level 3 Communications, Corning, Americans for Tax Reform and the American Council of the Blind, has been warning people of the coming “exaflood” of video and other Web content that could clog its pipes.”

This isn't the first time we've reported something like this, and we're starting to take the issue a bit more seriously.

We have all heard startling figures about how much bandwidth (and thus routing) is wasted on spam, perhaps if we could save the Internet if only we could manage to get rid of spam altogether and perhaps do away with those l33t d00dz who cannot spell words without numbers.

The sad truth is that neither of those things alone will save the Ineternet as we know it.  According to the survey the answer is to spend $137 billion in upgrading capacity all over the world.  Bill Gates could probably come quite close to bailing Northern America out, the cost of which is estimated between $42 and $55 billion dollars.
Via:  MacWorld
Tags:  Internet, running, cap, AC, AP
nelsoncp21 7 years ago

So where exactly are they pointing the finger. I am a bit confused cause when you say infrastructure I think of the cable plant. It wasn't even 10 years ago that everyone went on the fiber binge and started running fiber optics everywhere even when there was no immediate need for it. A large portion of it still not used today. In the office workspace and in alot of goverment buildings also everyone is running cat 6 or higher when they are connecting using a 100Base-T network. As a matter of fact I just did a install in a small office for someone that was connecting using DSL and they wanted cat 6 cables for their data. 90% of these cables also get replaced within 5-10 years way before there life span is up. The only group I see lacking is in the residential market. But even that is drastically changing. Verizon is trying to upgrade they're infrastructure to provide neighborhoods with FIOS. Apartments and condo's are no longer being cabled by your average electrician. they use NACG's or Networked Apartment Communication Gateway to run data,voice and CATV back to a central point. Many of them even offer connection through their network but many still opt to use a local isp i.e. comcast for some unkown reason.

Now if your talking about data centers and hubs than I guess it's possible we are lacking there. They could always use some of these govt agencies space as much of there's is overkill anyhow. There probably is some legitemency to they're claim though. But let's look at who they are. AT&T, corning and possibly Level 3 communications(not sure exactly what they are). Those 3 that I just mentioned look to me as if they have alot to gain by getting everyone in an uproar. Especially Corning who have almost succeeded in monopolizing the fiber optic industry. I really would like to see more details on this claim of there's.

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